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经济史的趣味-第49部分
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压摇⑹谐 ⒒肪痴馊鼋巧辉釉谝黄穑龀龆嗝嫦虻某な逼诜治觥0炎匀换肪车谋浠⑴┮底试吹脑黾酢⒕糜肷缁岬谋淝ā⒊⒌呐Α⑷嗣袂笊囊庵荆庑└丛拥拿嫦蚪岷显谝黄穑鸭虻サ娜丝趘s。粮食(马尔萨斯陷阱)思考模式。三、从「史家的技艺」这个角度来看,作者运用经济学的几何图形解说、计量回归分析、统计相关检定,把她从档案里挖掘出来的数字和史料,做了有机的结合,让数值分析与历史诠释产生巧妙的结合。我希望点出李教授的研究特点,引发读者的好奇心,进而阅读有兴趣的章节。
书背有两位汉学界的重量级人物,各为此书写了一段推介文字。麻省理工学院(MIT)的Peter Perdue教授说:饥荒是中国史上最重要的题材之一,这是人口与粮食之间永无间断的争斗。李教授从档案史料中,搜寻出非常广泛的数据数据与原始文献,所探讨的时期纵跨了三个世纪之长。历来研究中国饥荒问题的著作,在分析的成熟度上、数据的完整性上、讨论的深邃度上,都比不上这本书。我非常同意这项判断。
这本五百多页的巨着,包含27个表、28个图、16张地图、6张相片、61页注释、24页参考书目,处处显现作者二十年间的心血结晶,这是李明珠教授的传世之作。此书制作印刷非常精美,只是字体稍小,读起来耗眼力。
二十多年前我读邓云特《中国救荒史》(1937)时,一直希望看到较深入的分区个案研究。时间过得很快,李教授这本巨着远远超过我的预期。我一直注意各国的饥荒史研究,爱尔兰、印度、孟加拉国、非洲、芬兰的状况已有许多文献,现在这本《华北饥荒》,终于让国际学界等到企盼已久的中国案例。这本书的分量,更让我感到与有荣焉。
最后要提一件间接相关,但我认为很重要的事。目前在科罗拉多大学Boulder校区经济系任教的Carol Shiue,1999年在耶鲁大学取得经济学博士,论文主题是晚清的粮食贸易与储存,指导教授是Timothy Guinnane。这本论文是当年美国经济史学会的年度最佳博士论文奖之一,摘要见:“Grain Trade and Storage in Late Imperial China;” Journal of Economic History; 60(2):51115。
她毕业后任教于德州大学Austin校区经济系,2002年她发表一篇论文,分析中国米粮价格运送成本与市场的整合度:“Transport Costs and the Geography of Arbitrage in EighteenthCentury China;” American Economic Review; 92(5):140619。这是中国经济史的题材,首次登上这么重要的经济学期刊。两年后,Shiue发表第二篇重要论文:“Local Granaries and Central Government Disaster Relief: Moral Hazard and Intergovernmental Finance in Eighteenth and NieenthCentury China;” Journal of Economic History; 64(1):10024。2007年,她和在同系任教的丈夫Wolfgang Keller,再度发表重要论文,对比中国和欧洲米粮市场的整合度:“Markets in China and Europe on the Eve of the Industrial Revolution;” American Economic Review; 97(4):1189216。29我的用意是要说明:一、李明珠和Carol Shiue这两位女性学者,在国际学术界做出引人注目的中国经济史研究成果。二、Shiue运用经济与计量分析工具,把中国的数字与故事,转化成非常高质量的成果,更是中国经济史研究者应该学习效法的模范。
原刊于《中央研究院近代史研究所集刊》2008年6月第60期
附录3
中国经济史英文论文参考书目
以下是1949年之前,中国与台湾经济史的英文论文参考书目。这是我的私房阅读清单,并非都是值得推荐的佳作。目的是方便自己查索,顺便提供读者参考,当然有许多好文章没列举到。我用最简单的姓氏与年份排序,没有做题材性的分门别类。中文的经济史单篇论文,请参见《中国经济史研究》(季刊)、《中国社会经济史研究》(季刊)、《经济史》(双月刊,复印非经济史专业期刊的相关论文)。有两套论文选集可以参考:(1)《中国经济发展史论文选集》上下册,台北:联经(1980,收录中英论文42篇)。(2) Michael Dillon (2008) ed。: Key Papers on Chinese Economic History up to 1949; Kent: Global Oriental (48 texts in 2 volumes)。中英文的经济史专书,很容易在图书馆或网络内搜寻到。
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Brandt; Loren (1987): Farm household behavior; factor markets; and the distributive consequences of mercialization in early 20thcentury China; Journal of Economic History; 47(3):71137。
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Brown; S。R。 (1979): The transfer of technology to China in the 19th century: the role of direct foreign investment; Journal of Economic History; 39:18197。
Brown; Shannon and Tim Wright (1981): Technology; economics; and politics in the modernization of China's coalmining industry; Explorations in Economic History; 18(1):6083。
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Burdekin; Richard and Hsinhui I。H。 Whited (2001): Multiple regime shifts and multiple ends of the Taiwanese hyperinflation; 19451953; Southern Economic Journal; 68(1):7791。
Chan; Anthony (1977): The consortium system in Republican China; 19123; Journal of European Economic History; 6(3):597640。
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Chang; Juite (1993): Technology transfer in modern China: the case of railway enterprise; 18761937; Modern Asian Studies; 27(2):28196。
Chang; Tech'ang (1972): The economic role of the Imperial household (neiwufu) in the Ch'ing Dynasty; Journal of Asian Studies; 31(2):24373。
Chao; Kang (1981): New data on land ownership patterns in MingCh'ing China (a research note); Journal of Asian Studies; 40(4):71934。
Chao; Kang (1983): Tenure systems in traditional China; Economic Development and Cultural Change; 31(2):295314。
Chen; Chaonan (1975): Flexible bimetallic exchange rates in China; 16501850: a historical example of optimum currency areas; Journal of Money; Credit and Banking; 7(3):35976。
Chen; Chaonan; Pintsun Chang and Shikuan Chen (1995): The Sung and Ming paper monies: currency petition and currency bubbles; Journal of Macroeconomics; 17(2):27388。
Chen; Chiyun (1984): Han dynasty China: economy; society; and state power; a review of Choyun Hsu (1980): Han Agriculture: The Formation of Early Chinese Agrarian Economy; T'oung Pao; 70:12748。
Ch'en; Jerome (1965): Song bronzes: an economic analysis; Bulletin of the School of Oriental and African Studies; 28:61326。
Chiang; Taochang (1976): The production of salt in China; 16441911; Annals of the Association of American Geographers; 66(4):51630。
Chinn; D。 (1977): Land utilization and productivity in prewar Chinese agriculture: preconditions for collectivization; American Journal of Agriculture Economics; 59:55964。
Chinn; D。 (1978): Ine distribution in a Chinese mune; Journal of parative Economics; 2:246265。
Chinn; D。 (1980): Cooperative farming in North China; Quarterly Journal of Economics; 94(2):279297。
Chu; Cyrus and Ronald Lee (1994): Famine; revolt; and the dynastic cycle population dynamics in historic China; Journal of Population Economics; 7(4):35178。
Cloud; P。 and D。 Galenson (1987): Chinese immigration and contract labor in the late 19th century; Explorations in Economic History; 24(1):2242。 ment by Charles McClain; Jr。 (1990): Chinese immigration; 27:36378; replied by the authors; 28(2):23947。
Coale; Ansley (1984): Fertility in prerevolutionary rural China: in defense of a reassessment; Population and Development Review; 10(3):47180。
Cox; H。 (1997): Learning to do business in China: the evolution of BAT's cigarette distribution work; 190241; Business History; 39(3):3064。
Deng; Kent (2000): A critical survey of recent research in Chinese economic history; Economic History Review; 53(1):128。
Deng; Kent (2003): Development and its deadlock in Imperial China; 221 B。C。 1840 A。D。; Economic Development and Cultural Change; 51(2):479522。
Deng; Kent (2008): Miracle or mirage? Foreign silver; China’s economy and globalization from the sixteenth to the nieenth centuries; Pacific Economic Review; 13(3):32058。
Dittrich; Scott and Ram
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